Bedford vs. Denis Booked For UFC on FOX 3
Breaking down this fight isn’t necessarily the easiest thing to do. Both men only have one-fight in the UFC and it’s because of that we have not seen them up against world-class competition frequent enough to determine who is the most durable, who has the better skillset and really, who has the edge.
Denis looked scary in his last fight. He took out Sandoval with those standing elbows quickly and it was impressive, but one must look at Sandoval in order to give some worth to that win. Sandoval has dropped his only two UFC fights and therefore I give little merit to this victory.
Bedford also looked good in his UFC debut. He was relentless in taking out Louis Gaudinot (another first time UFC fighter) but again, looking at his opponent to determine the worth of this win, I just can’t give him much credit. Bedford holds the frame of a featherweight fighting in the bantamweight division and poor Gaudinot has now dropped to 125 pounds where he belongs. This matchup was really determined not only by the better fighter, but in large by the “bigger” fighter.
So where does that leave me? Headed straight to the numbers on this one.
Bedford has 15 more fights than his newly announced counterpart. That is a huge gap in experience. However out of his 28 pro-bouts he has lost 10 of them. (Nothing much to write home about.)
Denis on the other hand has dropped 2 of 13 contests and all of his fights have been via stoppage, even in defeat, the Canadian goes for broke, a mentality to be admired.
Bedford holds the majority of his wins by finish as well, in fact, out of his 17 victories only four has he won by decision.
Both fighters are finishers, but the Canadian holds the higher finishing rate. Both fighters are undefeated in the UFC, but both fought less than stellar opposition in their debut bouts. One guy (Bedford) holds a notable experience advantage over the other but the other man’s finishing rate is better.
Bedford is three inches taller and is a former NCAA division 1 wrestler. I’m going to have to go strictly on stats and credentials here, but if I was forced to bet on this match, I’d put my money on Johnny. I think Denis has a strong case and may take this fight, but with both fighters unproven logic gives the edge to Bedford.
With his Division 1 wrestling background and larger size one would think that, even though Denis seems relentless, Johnny can take this fight where he wants and worst case scenario grind out a decision.
So that’s my pick Bedford via decision.